Variance is one of the most misunderstood forces in sports trading. Even when you’re making smart, +EV trades, you can experience streaks of bad luck that shake your confidence and test your discipline. But variance isn’t your enemy—it’s a natural part of the game. The key is learning how to handle it like a pro.
Variance is the natural fluctuation between your expected outcomes and your actual results.
It reflects the role of chance in short-term results.
Even perfect trades can lose because sports events are unpredictable.
Over time, smart decisions will outperform variance—but short-term pain is inevitable.
Example: If your strategy has a 55% win rate, you can still lose 8 out of 10 trades occasionally. That’s variance at work.
Losing streaks can lead to:
Doubting a profitable strategy
Emotional trades (revenge betting)
Increasing stake sizes to chase losses
Abandoning discipline entirely
Understanding variance helps you stay calm, rational, and committed to the long game.
Just like losing streaks, winning streaks can also be misleading.
Don’t get overconfident during hot runs.
Don’t increase stakes just because you’re "on fire."
Analyze if your wins are based on skill or luck.
Pro Tip: Consistency comes from staying level-headed, not from chasing streaks.
Your goal isn’t to win every trade—it’s to make smart trades repeatedly over time.
Review your trades monthly or quarterly
Measure performance based on ROI and EV
Accept that variance is part of the grind
Long-term success comes from surviving the short-term swings.
Variance is a reality of sports trading. You can’t eliminate it, but you can learn to manage it. By understanding how it works, maintaining discipline, and sticking to +EV decisions, you’ll ride out the bad runs and capitalize on the good ones. Ready to stop fearing variance and start mastering it? Track your trades, trust your edge, and stay the course with SportsTrade.
We're concerned about problem gambling. For most people, gambling is entertainment - a fun activity that can be enjoyed without harmful effect. But for some, it's not just a game - it's a serious problem that continues even after the fun has gone.
Compulsive gambling is not easily detected. The person with a gambling problem will often go to great lengths to cover up the problem and will appear to look all right, regardless of the consequences of their gambling.
Warning Signs. Some of the indicators that a person may be suffering from a gambling problem include:
Losing time from work or family due to gambling.
Repeated failed attempts to stop or control gambling.
Borrowing money to gamble or pay gambling debts.
Gambling to escape worry or trouble.
Neglecting the care of one's self or family in order to gamble.
Lying about the amount of time and money spent on gambling.
Gambling more money in an attempt to win back losses.
Selling or pawning personal possessions to get money to gamble.
Feelings of hopelessness, depression, or suicide as a result of gambling.
Remember that help is available. By reaching out to people who understand, you can find the help you need. You can visit the Gambler's Anonymous website here:http://www.gamblersanonymous.org/ or Responsible Gaming Council here: http://www.responsiblegambling.org/
This is a non-profit organization not affiliated with us in any way.
It is an offence for persons under the age of eighteen (18) to make use of the Website. If we are unable to confirm that you are 18 years old then we may suspend your account until such time that we are able to confirm your age. If you are subsequently proven to have been under 18 years of age at the time you made any transactions with us, then:
Your Account will be closed.
All transactions on your account will be made void, and all related funds deposited by you will be returned by the payment method used for the deposit of such funds, wherever practicable.
Sportstrade is committed to providing the best service possible. We want our member to have confidence in our platform, and that's why we offer a Credit Back Guarantee to all tips without profits. This program comes into effect on the 01 July 2015 ('Effective Date') and is offered to ensure that member who made tips purchase of any tips that ended with either lose, draw, cancelled or postponed game. The credits will automatically refund to your account the next day and the information will be available after login in the member dashboard and available in 'transaction history' tab